It is, of course, impossible for an outside party to guess the direction Google intends to take with their new division--but anyone with any familiarity with the history of desktop computing can see an obvious parallel--and potentially beneficial business model--by looking at the relationship between Microsoft and Compaq over most of the 80s and 90s.
A little history...
pretty much where it all started--Apple II |
That opportunity went to a small startup called Microsoft. Whether or not the MS-DOS operating system was developed or merely stolen is at this point a matter of little more than academic interest. Of considerably greater import: IBM's decision to make their licensing agreement with Microsoft non-exclusive.
As a consequence of this decision, Microsoft was as free to distribute their desktop operating system to hardware vendors then as Google is free to distribute Android to Mobile Phone manufacturers now (although the software itself was hardly free).
the great-granddaddy... |
There were soon many other PC Compatibles on the market, with Compaq itself rapidly following up with it's DeskPro non-portable product. Soon enough, microprocessor-based computers also diversified into laptops and servers as well.
...and why it matters--the Compaq/Microsoft Model
Where this serves as a model for the future development of Android-powered devices is this: until their acquisition by Hewlett-Packard in 2002, Compaq continued to produce the "best in class" of DOS/Windows powered desktop computing devices, collaborating closely w/Microsoft in the process. Dell may have managed to out-compete Compaq in sales volume and price, but there was never any real doubt among knowledgeable users as to which company produced the better computers....of this--in more ways than one |
In order for this to occur, Google has to be serious about maintaining a firewall between their hardware and software divisions. If mobile device manufacturers come to believe that Motorola has an unfair advantage with Android, they will start looking for another OS solution--possibly the now open-sourced Web OS. Fear of such anti-competitive behavior has much to do with China's stipulation in agreeing to the merger that Android must remain an open platform for a minimum of five years.
An example that Google should not follow is the fairly porous "firewall" that continues to exist between Microsoft's Windows and Office divisions, which only exists because (a) Microsoft's de facto monopoly status in the corporate/enterprise software market lets them get away with it, and (b) you can pretty much do anything you want with closed-source commercial software.
this sucks...stop doing it |
almost as bad as Win8, IMHO |
Google has just been handed an enormous opportunity to make good on the years of goodwill and somewhat naive trust they've received from the Open Source software community. There is at least one time-tested and well-documented way they can do this right. We are all about to find out how "non-evil"--and smart-- Google really is.
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